Uncategorized

Tuesday October 19 Update, and New Trade Signal in the MJ etf.

As miners continue to go sideways the last few days up near recent highs, which I like, a new buy signal on the marijuana etf MJ is here. I have not bought any yet, as my major focus continues to be on the precious metals miners, but I will look to acquire some MJ etf (the Alternative Harvest etf) into the next oversold intraday technicals on the 30 minute bar chart. I was tempted to start buying some before the close fo trading today, but the marijuana stocks were closing at the high of the day, after a long, tedious downtrend day after day since the beginning of 2021. Waiting for that longer term downtrend to re-exert itself in the next day or two seems like a better bet to start buying, rather than chase a short-term overbought move, since they always seem to fizzle, at least in 2021 so far. It’s the same way I have been buying my miners, there is no good reason to chase moves up in the context of an overall downtrend, except for the day they make the turn higher permanently. If you can tell me when that is, I will change my buy strategy!

I will keep this post short, and just show you the daily, weekly, and long term monthly charts on the MJ etf, so you can see how oversold the technicals are. Of course, they can stay oversold for awhile, so we don’t want to go in too heavy at the first positive sign like we had today, there have been many other days like this in the last year, and MJ always manages to head lower again rather than turn the trend up. Trading is just a game of probabilities and risk management, not much more to it. Lets take a look at those charts….

MJ’s daily chart shows a downtrend in place since June is no being broken, while oversold stochastics are just turning higher. I am willing to bet the MJ etf gets to the 200 day moving average at some point over the next few months, if not much higher.
The WEEKLY chart for MJ also shows drastically oversold technicals across the board, and the etf is in a triangle that is converging rapidly, suggesting a break out one direction or the other. After an overall downtrend since 2018, my bet will be that once MJ finds some significant buyers, this etf will easily take out that $20-$21.50 area at a minimum.
Long-term MJ MONTHLY chart with very oversold stochastics that are about to cross higher. We need to decide what time frame signal we are going to trade, being all three charts are showing oversold technicals, we can choose whichever we like. I usually buy into the longest term signal available, in this case the monthly setup, in cases where I will be going against a well-entrenched downtrend. This allows me to expect and ride out the bumps until the etf not only turns higher, but goes through several intermediate cycles, which should get us to the next “runaway” phase of the new bull market.

SIGN UP FOR UPDATES

NO SPAM, EVER!